Tuesday, October 27, 2026

Aurora Central High and Abraham Lincoln no longer “on the clock.” Why? Part 1. Open Letter to Colorado State Board of Education

 

Open Letter to members of the Colorado State Board of Education                                              

Oct. 26, 2026

 

Aurora Central High and Abraham Lincoln no longer “on the clock.” Why? Part 1.

   On the morning of Oct. 14, 2026, the State Board received a progress monitoring update on schools with Board Directed Action from the Colorado Department of Education’s Improvement and Innovation Division.

   In the afternoon five CDE staff members gave an update: “CDE Strategic Plan 2026-2027: Accelerating Student Outcomes – Literacy.”

   On literacy, what a difference! A huge disconnect between what was not discussed in the morning and what was said in the afternoon on the reading and writing scores of our students.

   For this reason, I am sending you some of the information CDE staff did not show you on the literacy results in two schools for whom the Board bears a special responsibility. Without this information, how well can you assess the schools’ progress? (The Improvement and Innovation team had this data for the high schools; I sent it to them on September 1. See closing paragraph.)

Protesting narrative about “40% can’t read” - and a look at schools with Board Directed Action

   As she has done in the past, Board member Kathy Plomer zeroed in on what it means for students who score at Approached versus Met Expectations on the literacy portion of CMAS. Scoring at Approached, CDE staff affirmed, does not mean a student cannot read. Plomer wants this to be well understood. “As a parent,” Plomer said, “I need to know that my kid is okay.”  

  “And that’s where I get concerned,” she continued, “with … the narrative that 40% of our students can’t read. That isn’t right.” No, she insisted, what it means is that “40% did not meet these bands, but they are meeting most of the objectives…. the more we keep saying that, from this dais, from this department, the more we’re telling people some inaccurate information … “

  This matters, Plomer concluded, “not to give false comfort, but to talk accurately about what our kids know and are able to do.”[i] (Transcription mine. I apologize for any errors.)

   Agreed – Let’s talk accurately. Are these kids okay?

   When speaking for the big picture, across the state, Plomer has a point. However, on Oct. 14, no one present acknowledged

“Can’t read.” Others can explain to what extent these scores reflect poor reading and writing skills. CDE’s definition of Partially Met and Did Not Yet Meet on CMAS indicate a performance well below grade level.[i]

that such concerns do not apply to the K-8 schools and the one district (Adams 14) on Board Directed Action, the very subject of the morning session. At these schools, 40% might UNDERSTATE the problem. At these schools, over 50% - in one case over 80% - of students do not score at Exceeds, or at Meets, or at Approaches, on CMAS. I hope this sinks in: The majority scored at Partially Met or Did Not Yet Meet Expectations. (See chart 1, below.)

   And no one said a word about the fact that on the reading and writing portion of the PSAT/SAT last year, at all five high schools/programs (see Aurora Central Campus[iii]) that have been, or are on, Board Directed Action, the majority of students did not score at Exceeds, at Meets, or at Approaches. (For the PSAT/SAT, there are only four performance levels.) The majority scored at the lowest performance level: Did Not Yet Meet Expectations.[iv] (See chart 2, below.)

K-8 – CMAS – Literacy – for 5 schools and one district with Board Directed Action

Percentage of students in grades 3-8 scoring at the two lowest performing levels on the literacy portion of CMAS in 2026. At schools and a district with Board Directed Action, as of Oct. 14.

Chart 1

Did Not Yet Meet Expectations

Partially Met Expectations

Total % scoring in lowest two performance levels

North Middle (APS)

51.4%

29.0%

80.4%

Central Elem. (Adams 14)

35.3%

34.8%

70.1%

Aurora Hills Middle (APS)

38.6%

27.2%

65.8%

ADAMS 14 (district)

32.2%

27.5%

59.7%

Risley School of Exploration (Pueblo 60)

34.6%

23.5%

58.1%

Galileo Middle (Col Springs)

28.0&

37.1%

55.1%

STATE AVERAGE

14.5%

16.8%

31.3%

 

9-11- PSAT/SAT – reading and writing – for 5 high schools with Board Directed Action


Chart 2

Did Not Yet Meet Expectations

Number of students who DNY Meet

Approached Expectations

Met/Exceeded Expectations

Aurora Central High (APS)

61.9%

583

14.6%

23.5%

Abraham Lincoln High (DPS)

58.7%

276

14.9%

26.4%

Gateway High (APS)

55%

491

17.3%

27.7%

Adams City High (Adams 14)

54.1%

533

18.2%

27.8%

Mitchell High (Col Springs)

50.8%

192

17.5%

31.7%

STATE AVERAGE

22.5%

2,075

14.1%

63.4%

    At four of these high schools, the percentage scoring Did Not Yet Meet was over twice the percentage scoring Met/Exceeded. Is it now clear why these are numbers the State Board must have and needs to consider when determining what “progress” at these schools really means?

   In early September, I sent CDE a nine-page summary of 2026 data on the high schools on Board Directed Action.[v] It included the data above showing how many students at each school scored at the lowest level on literacy—and much more about the schools’ performance last year. I hoped it would inform the Progress Monitoring Update. None of this information reached you on Oct. 14. Another reason for this Open Letter, and one that will follow, in the belief it is information you should have.

   And another reason to question why, as CDE reported to you on Oct. 14, Aurora Central High School and Abraham Lincoln High School “fully exited Performance Watch and will no longer be progress monitored by the department.”

Respectfully yours,

Peter Huidekoper, Jr.

Parker, CO

peterhdkpr@gmail.com


Endnotes


[i] Video of State Board of Education meeting on Oct. 14, 2026, https://ed.cde.state.co.us/cdeboard/watchlive

[ii] “Performance Levels and Policy Claims,” Colorado Measures of Academic Success, Colorado Department of Education Claims

Partially Met Expectations - Students who demonstrate a limited command of the concepts, skills, and practices embodied by the Colorado Academic Standards assessed at their grade level. They will need additional academic support to engage successfully in further studies in this content area.

Did Not Yet Meet Expectations - Students who do not yet meet academic expectations for the concepts, skills, and practices embodied by the Colorado Academic Standards assessed at their grade level. They will need extensive academic support to engage successfully in further studies in this content area.  https://www.cde.state.co.us/assessment/cmas_perflvl_plcclms 

[iii] The Colorado Department of Education gives the two programs or schools on the “Campus” one school code. Another View #301 explained why this makes little sense and enables the high school to escape true accountability. 2026 results for grade 9-11 at the high school versus results for grades 3-8 at the Burrell Arts K-8 reinforce my point in AV#301: “‘Combining’ results in the School Performance Framework obscures the simple truth: the two programs produce enormously different student outcomes. If CDE won’t classify them as two distinct schools, their results tell a different story.”  

[iv] CDE’s definition - Level 1 - Did Not Yet Meet Expectations

·        Students performing at this level may minimally approach the academic expectations for the knowledge, skills and practices known to be most relevant for success in college and careers contained in the assessed high school Colorado Academic Standards.

https://ed.cde.state.co.us/assessment/sat-psat/educator-score-reports

[v] My email: Subject: “A look at 2026 results at six high schools.” Sent to CDE staff and copied to Commissioner Susana Córdova, Sept. 1, 2026.

Follow up to Another View on the three high schools

AV #296 - These 4,500 high school students deserve something better  

Three low-performing high schools, with rarely seen numbers/graphs

A learning gap? More like a learning chasm

and to my look at six low-performing high schools. (In 2025: Four were on Priority Improvement, two were not. On the 2026 Preliminary SPF: two are on PI, Gateway and Thornton; four are not.)

#301 - When school performance ratings lose their credibility

With 2026 data in, I wanted to take a look and pass on what I see. Having been critical of some reporting and decisions by CDE related to last year’s results, I thought I should study the latest results for these high schools and share my observations. Better to send this to you ahead of time rather than after your updates to the Board. 

Monday, October 12, 2026

AV #306 - The declining number of future teachers in Colorado sends a warning. Where is this headed?

      All of us who have taught worry about the future of our profession. Why the decline in the number of young people who hope to teach? In a few years, will we have enough good men and women who want to teach?

   Pupil enrollment in Colorado’s public schools has declined by roughly 2% this decade. The issue gets a lot of attention. (The latest, just last week: “Adams 12 to close six schools at the end of the academic year.”[i]) But the number of teachers entering the profession in our state has declined even more rapidly.

   Another View #306 presents 12 charts on the troubling trends. I hope they encourage more attention 

  Next Month, AV #307, positive news. A 19-year-old in an educator prep program who CAN’T WAIT TO TEACH!                   Enthusiasm, determination, passion … meet Kelly.

to and action on this issue. The charts reveal a declining number in our education preparation programs and disturbing data on teacher shortages. We must make this topic a higher priority. 

   Here you see the declining number of those entering and completing our traditional teacher preparation program programs. The ever-growing number enrolling and completing Alternative Licensure programs (Charts 3 and 6) keeps the overall decline from being as unsettling as it would be otherwise. Still, including both traditional and alternative programs, the decline from 2020 (14,104) to 2024 (11,048) is alarming. 





 2020 to 2024:  Overall – minus 3,056    /   Traditional – minus 3,677  -  Drop of 29%



2020 to 2024:  Overall – minus 431        /     Traditional – minus 447  -  Drop of 17%

*CDE’s Education Preparation Programs Report. This is also the source for data in charts 3-6. https://ed.cde.state.co.us/educatortalent/researchandimpact/epp-dashboard. 


A contrast - Alternative Teacher Licensure programs in Colorado

   Participation in alternative licensure programs has shown steady growth.


                       2020-2025:  Enrolling – plus 851 – up 65%   /   Completing – plus 110 – up 12%


Educator Preparation Programs for Elementary Education

   Given Another View’s attention to the state’s struggles to help our youngest students develop strong reading skills, this update includes a look at the decline in the number enrolling and completing an elementary education program. The state has modified its goals for the READ Act: rather than aim to see ALL third graders read at grade level, the new target is 60% by 2028. We will never meet that (already) implausible goal (2026 results showed a decline from 2025; only 40.8% of third graders Met Expectations) if fewer well-prepared K-5 teachers enter the profession.

   

 2020 to 2024:  Overall – minus 529        /      Traditional – minus 696   - Drop of 24% 





                           2020 to 2024:  Overall – minus 85      /     Traditional – minus 111   -  Drop of 19%

In traditional programs, the percent of those who completed out of those enrolled = 21% (460 divided by 2,174).

 

A hopeful note in 2022, but it now looks too rosy

    COMMENT: For many years the Colorado Department of Higher Education and the Colorado Department of Education produced an annual report on the state’s educator preparation programs.[ii] Their final report in 2022 noted, optimistically: “Elementary education has had the largest number of completers” and pointed to an increase from 2019-20 to 2020-21.

   State data, as presented in AV #306, now comes from CDE’s Dashboard. Its more current numbers show that the positive bump in 2020-21 did not continue; we have seen a significant decline in completers since then (608 to 460). Equally worrisome, as Chart 7 will show, the teacher shortage for elementary teachers has more than doubled since 2020-21.

Again, a contrast - Alternative Teacher Licensure 

   Chart 3 presented the positive trend, overall, for Alternative Licensure programs. Chart 6 shows that this has been especially true in elementary education programs.

 

2020-2025: Enrolling -  plus 257   - up 110%      /      Completing – plus 52    - up 31%


Towards an endorsement in Elementary Education:

   Over these six years the number:

-enrolling in an Alternative Teacher Licensure program more than doubled, from 233 to 490.

-completing the Alternative Teacher Licensure program grew by 31%.

   In 2025, the percentage of those who completed out of those enrolled = 45% (220 out of 490).

 

Educator shortage in Colorado

      Here you see the most recent data on teacher shortages, from CDE’s Dashboard, “Educator Shortage in Colorado Public Schools.” (Data from 2019-2026.)[iii]

Statewide

2018-19

2019-20

2020-21

2021-22

2022-23

2023-24

2024-25

2025-26

Teacher Openings

 7,931


 (15%)

 6,070

 6,606

 5,938

 8,596


 (16%)

 7,456

 7,704

6,447


 (12%)

 (% of all positions)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Top Two Teacher  Shortage Areas

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Special Education Generalist - FTE

  187

  256.1

  212

  292

 539.9

 526.1

 486.4

 578.2

 

Elementary Education - FTE

  275

   210

 224.3

 327.8

 495.1

 601.7

 482.0

 469.8

   

   Overall, the number of teacher openings declined from 2019 to 2022 (perhaps Covid related), rose in 2023, and has declined since then. In 2025-26 the percentage of teacher openings was lower (12%) than it had been in 2018-19 (15%).

   However, the number of teacher shortages in special education and elementary education rose from 2019 to 2023. The numbers have since remained well above pre-Covid levels.

·       For special education, in 2025-26, the number of teacher shortages was the highest it has been in these eight years (578.2).

·       For elementary education, the number of shortages was highest in 2023-24 (601.7). It has declined some the past two years. Nevertheless, the 2025-26 total of roughly 470 is more than twice the number we saw in 2020 (210) and 2021 (224.3).[iv]




From 2019-2026, the shortage in Elementary Education grew - 275 to 470 – up 71%

  

COMMENT: In the 2022 CDHE/CDE report, a section on “Addressing Content Shortage Areas” looked closely at special education, early childhood, and mathematics.

   The number of teachers earning a license in elementary education is a different category than “content shortage.” Still, it is worth noting that 2022 report did not see what is now so apparent – the growing shortage of teachers with a license in elementary education.

 

A closer look at Colorado’s teacher shortage

 

   The Colorado Center for Rural Education (CCRE) provides more detail on the shortage. Its 2024 study, “Mitigating the teacher shortage in Colorado,” told us:[v]

 

   “The teacher shortage in Colorado is worse than the national shortage.… According to the CDE’s 2023-2024 educator shortage survey results, Colorado’s rural and small rural districts and BOCES had 905 positions filled by shortage mechanisms, including long-term substitutes (280), retired educators (196), alternative candidates (308), and emergency candidates (121). Importantly, 250 rural and small rural district teaching positions were unfilled for the entire year. The need for alternative pathways has grown during each of the past six years.” 

That 2024 report, and CCRE’s more recent updates, give these numbers over eight years:

 

Long-Term Sub

Retired

Alternative

Emergency

Unfilled

Totals

2018-19

92

82

205

81

71

531

2019-20

120

93

208

42

72

535

2020-21

113

95

191

44

95

538

2021-22

159

128

284

81

295

947

2022-23

257

144

318

68

324

1,111

2023-24

280

196

308

121

250

1,155

2024-25**

304

195

297

236*

112

1,145

2025-26**

255

173

230

134*

83

 874

*Emergency, TEE candidates, and other mechanisms

**2024-25 and 2025-26 figures from CCRE’s annual report to the Colorado Department of Higher Education, Sept. 30, 2026.

From Slide 14 of that report: “In 2025-26, rural/small rural districts and BOCES had a total of 1,380 openings and a total shortage of 874 teachers—well above the state average.” [vi]



 

National picture (2012-23 to 2022-23) - "sobering news"

Declining enrollment and completion in teacher preparation programs

(From the most recent report by AACTE: “2025 Data Update: Teacher Preparation Program Trends.”[vii])

   Finally, data from the 2025 national report by AACTE. The overall picture, though less distressing than we see in Colorado, still presents what AACTE calls “sobering news.” Colorado is not alone in showing significant declines in enrollment in our teacher preparation programs. Chart 11 shows similar declining numbers in several states. But Chart 12 reveals that a few states have managed to buck this trend. They send an encouraging message to Colorado: if we make this issue a priority, we can arrest our declining numbers.


Enrollment



Enrollment – a 10-year decline

                      Enrollment in Comprehensive[viii] programs - from 611,296 to 407,556 - a decline of 33%

 

From AACTE Report:                                                                                                                         (All bold is mine)

   “After precipitously declining during the first half of the 2010s, total enrollment in teacher preparation programs stabilized in recent years at approximately 600,000 teacher candidates annually … enrollment in IHE-based comprehensive programs declined by one-third.”

   “Notably, after growing slightly in recent years, enrollment in comprehensive teacher preparation programs fell in 2022-23 to the lowest level recorded.”

   “When AACTE announced that enrollment had increased [in 2020-21], we cautioned that this positive sign might be a short-lived ‘blip’ in the data, and it appears that this caution was justified. However, it is also possible that this year’s declines may also be temporary, a delayed impact of the pandemic.”

COMMENT – Nation vs. Colorado: That national increase in 2020-21 contrasts with a significant decline, that same year, in Colorado (see charts 1 and 2), Overall and in Traditional programs.

   And AACTE’s look ahead, “it is also possible that this year’s declines [in 2022-23] may also be temporary,” proved too optimistic, for Colorado anyway. The following year (2023-24), the numbers enrolling and completing programs in Colorado continued to decline (again, charts 1 and 2), especially in Traditional programs.

 Completion


                                                                

                                                                                  Completion

 

Overall - during this decade, a drop of 43,766 – a decline of 23%.

Comprehensive programs – an even greater drop of 50,938 - a decline of 31%.

 

From AACTE report:

   “Trends in program completion largely mimic trends in enrollment, with a few notable exceptions. After declining in the first part of the decade, the number of candidates completing comprehensive programs stabilized during the pandemic before declining again in 2022-23.”

COMMENT – Nation vs. Colorado. Similar to national trends, Colorado did see an increase in completion after the “year of Covid” (2019-20), up to 2,737 in 2020-21 and 2,704 in 2021-22. But it has plunged since then, to 2,193 in 2023-24. (See chart 2.)

 

From AACTE’s Summary

   “This data update contains sobering news for teacher preparation programs. Until this year, enrollment and completions had stabilized, and even grew modestly during the pandemic, but both have once again declined.”

 

8 states - From AACTE report* – Colorado is hardly alone in seeing this decline …

 

*AACTE Data Dashboard - https://aacte.org/aacte-dashboard/

         … but from 2015 to 2023, the numbers in several states held steady, or even improved. 

**  

In light of this data, several questions:

   How concerned are we about these trends? How should we define the situation? Is it a crisis? For our rural school districts, it sure looks like one. AV #306 is written in the hope that, crisis or not, we can recognize the severity of the problem, one that we must address.

Next steps? See the proposed short- and long-term solutions 

in CCRE’s annual report, and 

how it sees the state’s role 

in addressing our teacher shortage. Endnotes.[ix]

   If current trends continue, what is the likely outcome for our schools and our students? Even if we enroll fewer students in the years ahead, what will be the impact on our ability to offer all of them a quality education?

    A more thorough report than this would explore the leadership we see on this issue from the Colorado Department of Education, the State Board of Education, the Colorado legislature, and the Governor. Last spring budget constraints led to a conflict between the Governor’s office and the Joint Budget Committee on whether to fund two of the strongest efforts addressing the teacher shortages.[x] Will our new Governor recognize the gravity of the problem and urge policymakers to do more?

   

   A stronger analysis would also ask how the state’s traditional teacher preparation programs are responding? Can they find components essential to the (increasingly popular) alternative licensure programs worth adopting in their own design?

   We would also ask what Colorado can learn from other states that do not see such a precipitous decline in the numbers enrolling and completing their traditional preparation programs.

**

   Reader, do you, too, find the trends deeply troubling?

   If so, what more can we do to sound the alarm, and act, before we create a situation where 24 students walk into a classroom - only to find they have no teacher?


Endnotes


[i] “Adams 12 to close six schools at the end of the academic year,” by Rae Solomon, Colorado Public Radio, Oct. 8, 2026. https://www.cpr.org/2026/10/08/adams-12-school-closures/

[ii] “Colorado Educator Preparation Programs and the Educator Population,” CCHE and CDE, Dec. 2022.

https://cdhe.colorado.gov/sites/highered/files/documents/EPP%20Report%20Dec%202022.pdf

[iv] Ibid, CDE.

[v] “The Colorado Center for Rural Education: Mitigating the Teacher Shortage in Colorado,” by Joey Laurx, Robert Fulton, and Rosanne Fulton. Journal of Educational Research and Innovation, Volume 12, 2024, https://digscholarship.unco.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1146&context=jeri

More excerpts from this report:

                                                                   Colorado problem                                                  (Bold mine)

   In Colorado, rural and small rural districts, along with the BOCES that serve them, continue to experience challenges recruiting qualified educators for classroom teachers, school leaders, and special services providers. … In the state 147 of 178 districts are rural or small rural with nearly 150,000 PK-12 students …. the percentage of Colorado’s unfilled positions is two times higher in rural districts than it is in non-rural districts. During the 2022-23 academic year, 8% of teacher positions were unfilled in rural Colorado districts, compared to 4% in non-rural districts.

   “ … Colorado’s teacher shortage is acute in rural and small rural districts where they do not have enough teachers in all content areas (e.g., mathematics and science) and all special services provider areas (e.g., counselors and nurses).

   “Currently, Colorado colleges and universities do not graduate the number of educators needed each year.”

[vi] “Rural Teacher Development —Advancing Systems to Unify Postsecondary Education and the PK-12 Educator Workforce,” Annual Report to the Colorado Department of Higher Education, by Robert Fulton, PhD, CCRE Director, September 30, 2026. CCRE's website: https://www.unco.edu/ebs/centers-institutes/rural-education/

[vii] AACTE’s “2025 Data Update: Teacher Preparation Program Trends,” by Jacqueline King and Chen-Su Chen (Sept 2025) -  https://aacte.org/report/2025-data-update-teacher-preparation-program-trends/)

[viii] Comprehensive programs. From AI: “In AACTE (American Association of Colleges for Teacher Education) and federal Title II reporting, a comprehensive program is a traditional college or university pathway tied to an education degree with extensive student teaching, while an alternative program allows candidates holding a bachelor's degree in another field to become teachers of record while finishing licensure requirements.” (Source - Center for American Progress, https://www.americanprogress.org/article/the-alternative-teacher-certification-sector-outside-higher-education/)

[ix] From “Rural Teacher Development —Advancing Systems to Unify Postsecondary Education and the PK-12 Educator Workforce,” Annual Report to the Colorado Department of Higher Education, by Robert Fulton, PhD, CCRE Director, September 30, 2026.

Short-term solutions

·        Provide targeted incentives for teacher candidates and current teachers

·        Consider temporary changes to licensure and initial certification policies

·        Build long-term substitute pool and incentives for retired teachers

·        Build staff capacity to provide targeted supports and high-quality instruction

Long-term solutions

·        Collect and publish information on teacher vacancies and turnover

·        Ensure safe, responsive working conditions for teachers and staff

·        Provide connected professional learning (embedded, ongoing, practical training that improves daily classroom work)

·        Increase compensation and teacher pay

[x] As Erica Breunlin of The Colorado Sun reported last spring, “Colorado’s rural teacher pipeline programs will likely skirt funding cuts in state budget,” cuts proposed last winter by Gov. Jared Polis would have eliminated two programs tackling this problem.[x] Fortunately, the Joint Budget Committee opposed the Governor’s plan and preserved the funding.

    Breunlin reported on impressive steps being taken by two of Colorado’s teacher preparation programs. She featured the work of Robert Fulton at the Center for Rural Education and Christine McConnell, director of the Colorado Teacher Cadet program, “to prop up the state’s teaching profession and fix a pipeline that year after year falls short of deploying enough educators across the state.”