Wednesday, January 23, 2019

AV#188 - School accountability in Colorado



 No need to abandon the School Performance Framework, but it is far from perfect.

Case in point: Paris Elementary and student achievement


“Nearly a decade ago, our state laid a new foundation for evaluating the success of K-12 schools –
 a model that has been replicated across the country….
But the experience of local educators in recent years has made it clear it is time for another shift.”
“It’s time to change Colorado’s school accountability system,”[i]
 The Denver Post, Rebecca Holmes and Lisa Yates, Dec. 19, 2018

That guest commentary made a good case for “rethinking accountability” for our schools, and I cheer on the efforts Holmes and Yates are piloting in a number of districts.[i] Here is perhaps a more basic reason to re-examine our School Performance Framework. Is the most modest growth trumping dismal achievement scores? How else can a school like Paris Elementary be rated on Improvement?

It is mean-spirited to jump on those who are down, and as I see it, Aurora Public Schools and—my focus here—one of its schools, are in grave trouble, so what I write here can be seen as mean. But to know how our students perform is much too important to let this pass. Just as it is vital to know how well our schools are serving our students. For the moment, Colorado’s School Performance Framework remains our guide. But it is surely imperfect, and it can sometimes be wrong.

AV #128 – “Paris Elementary School – 2012-2014 – a narrative” (March 2015) – “An Open Letter to the State Board of Education and the Colorado Department of Education,” was an earlier warning about the school, on Priority Improvement for a second year. It then spent the next three years on Priority Improvement.
Paris Elementary spent five years on Priority Improvement on the state’s School Performance Framework (SPF), and thus approached the end of the accountability clock this past year (see Addendum A). But in December Paris somehow received (I cannot say earned) 42.9 total percent points on the SPF, and it is now rated on Improvement. This is the second highest rating on the state’s SPF.



APS staff: Transparent on results?  APS school board: Curious?[iii] Indifferent? Irresponsible?

Did student performance at Paris improve enough to earn the state’s second highest rating in 2018?  Do not ask the school board at Aurora Public Schools; APS staff prefers not to provide achievement scores to the board. (I have criticized this twice before: “Open Letter to Aurora Public Schools,” Oct. 10, 2017, and last March, AV #177 - APS school board still not being told student achievement data in ACTION Zone.) It was no different earlier this month when staff gave an update on the five schools in the Action ZONE: 15 slides and not one word on student achievement. Unbelievable. See Addendum B.)

[The specific presentation on Aurora Central High School at that board meeting was even more appalling, but ACHS is not my focus. If interested, Addendum C includes some data (the board did not see).]

No easy answers, but consider this—from page 2 of the Final School Performance Framework for Paris Elementary for 2016, and for 2017, and now the most recent one, for 2018.

Paris Elementary School – School Performance Framework – 2016 - 2018

ACADEMIC ACHIEVEMENT
Subject
Student Group
Mean Scale Score
Rating


2016
2017
2018
2016
2017
2018
English Language Arts
All students
698.2
707.5
709.3*
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet

Previously Identified for READ Plan



Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet

English Learners



Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet

Free/Reduced Lunch Eligible



Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet

Minority Students



Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet

Students with Disabilities



Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
Math
All students
695.6
697.2
703.0*
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet

English Learners



Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet

Free/Reduced Lunch Eligible



Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet

Minority Students



Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet

Students with Disabilities



Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
Science
All students
457.9
454.9
455.4
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet

English Learners



Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet

Free/Reduced Lunch Eligible



Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet

Minority Students



Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet

Students with Disabilities



Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
*TO NOTE: State average for ELA, for grades 3-5, close to 743; state average for Math, grades 3-5, close to 737. [iv]
                                             
  DOES NOT MEET on Academic Achievement is based the PARCC/CMAS results. Take a look. 

2018 – PARCC/CMAS - % who met or exceeded expectations – state, district, school[v]


COLORADO
AURORA PUBLIC SCHOOLS
PARIS ELEMENTARY

2016
2017
2018
2016
2017
2018
2016
2017
2018
ELA









Grade 3
37.4
40.1
40.4
18.6
20.4
21.3
8.9
10.7
*
Grade 4
43.9
44.1
46.1
21.2
25.1
26.9
*
11.3
*
Grade 5
41.2
46.3
47.4
21.1
26.0
29.8
*
9.7
12.1










MATH









Grade 3
38.9
40.0
39.1
18.2
20.9
19.6
*
7.1
6.5
Grade 4
33.3
34.0
33.9
14.0
15.6
17.3
*
*
*
Grade 5
34.3
33.6
35.5
13.7
15.0
17.3
*
*
*

* Scores not available, as the number of students is under 16 – BUT IF WE SEE THE PERCENT SCORING IN THE BOTTOM THREE CATEGORIES AT PARIS ELEMENTARY (below), we can see that the missing scores are likely to be similar to those where the scores are available.

APS staff (unwilling to tell the school board such grim news?) offered three bullets about Paris under “Individual School Progress.” It noted that the Median Growth Percentile (MGP) in math improved “by 8.5 points between 2017 and 2018, from 38 to 46.5.”[vi] Yes, these are the numbers on the SPF. But did it? 

And how does a 46.5% MGP in math, a 47% MGP in ELA, and 55% MGP in English Language Proficiency tally up to 54.8% MGP for the school, which apparently is enough to lift Paris to an Improvement rating?

A breakdown on PARCC/CMAS results for Paris – OVER 70% NOT EVEN APPROACHING EXPECTATIONS

The state provides more detail than just the # and % who Met or Exceeded Expectations. It actually reports the # and % of students scoring in each of the five categories, from lowest (Did Not Yet Meet Expectations) to highest (Exceeded Expectations). So even without the data for the number and percentage Meeting Expectations for many grades at Paris, when the far majority of students are scoring in the bottom two categories, it reveals how far most students are from meeting the standards.

2018 – PARCC/CMAS – Paris Elementary – far majority of scores in bottom two categories


% Did Not Yet Meet Expectations
% Partially Met Expectations
% Approaching Expectations
% Met  Expectations
% Exceeded Expectations
ELA





Grade 3
56.5
24.2
*
*
Grade 4
34.9
34.9
*
*
Grade 5
24.2
45.5
18.2
12.1





MATH





Grade 3
48.4
25.8
19.4
6.5
Grade 4
55.6
27.0
*
*
Grade 5
40.0
41.5
*
*
                                                                                                                              
So for both ELA and Math, at least 69.7% (Grade 5, ELA) and as many as 82.6% (Grade 4, Math) of the students at Paris SCORE in the BOTTOM TWO CATEGORIES - a long way from reaching proficiency in these two subjects.

Paris Elementary – hardly alone to earn an Improvement rating with such low achievement

Paris is not the only school to receive fewer than 43% points that is now rated on Improvement. In Aurora, the same is true for three other schools. True as well for other Colorado schools; I list the first dozen one finds on the state’s website–below. But Paris is a school I have followed for several years, and I cannot see how it now deserves to be rated on Improvement. And when other schools where student achievement remains equally troubling—far below the district average, to say nothing of the state average—“earn” an Improvement rating, it invites questions about the validity of the SPF itself.

Schools with less than 43 percentage points earned on the SPF, but rated on Improvement in 2018[vii]


District
School
% points earned
2018 SPF
APS
Kenton Elem.
42.3
Improvement

Lansing Elem.
42.2
Improvement

Paris Elem.
42.9
Improvement

South Middle
42.2
Improvement
Center
Center High
42.2
Improvement
Charter School Institute
Mountain Village Montessori Charter
42.5
Improvement
Colorado Springs
West Elem.
42.6
Improvement
Denver
Cheltenham Elem.
42.3
Improvement

Colfax Elem.
42.6
Improvement


Farrell B. Howard ECE-8
42.8
Improvement


Godsman Elem.
36.4 (???)
Improvement
Englewood
Englewood Middle School
42.8
Improvement


Denver Public Schools has its own SPF and its own (often more rigorous) rating formula.  This sometimes leads the state to drop its final ratings for several DPS schools. Three examples follow. The percentage points earned might have led the state to put the school on Improvement, but DPS was not as lenient. In the end the state SPF “Deferred to district rating” and gave these schools a lower rating.



% points earned
2018 SPF
Notes
DPS
Monarch Montessori
42
Priority Improvement
Deferred to district rating

Stedman Elem.
42.4
Turnaround
Deferred to district rating

STRIVE-GVR
43
Priority Improvement
Deferred to district rating


Help!

I believe the Educator Accountability Act of 2009 (SB 09-163), which led to Colorado’s School Performance Framework, has been, all in all, a positive for our state. Selfishly, Another View has depended heavily on Colorado’s SPF in commenting on school results; I might be compelled to torch much of what I have written over the past ten years if I lose faith that, more often not, it has given us valuable information. I am among those worried that the mounting criticism of the School Performance Framework might go too far. Far better for parents and the public see the results of an honest effort to assess how schools like Paris Elementary and Aurora Central are doing, than to lose hope that it is worth doing at all. Revise it, rename it, fine—but do away with it? Give up on school accountability?

Two “major purposes” of SB-163 included:
·         Creating a fairer, clearer and more effective cycle of support and intervention
·         Enhancing state, district and school oversight of improvement efforts[viii] (emphasis mine)

Although this newsletter points out what must be one egregious error with our SPF, it is a mistake that can be fixed. If our SPF is on thin ice, I have no desire to see it disappear.

My point is more supportive. The SPF, like any human creation, is fallible and sometimes gets it wrong. If the goal has been to help provide better “support and intervention” to our lowest-performing schools and “enhance … oversight of improvement efforts,” the SPF needs to make it clear that schools like Paris Elementary are not doing OK. They do not need the stamp of on Improvement. They need help.



Addendum A

Colorado’s School Performance Framework – 2011-2018 - Paris Elementary School


Overall rating
Points Earned
Academic Achievement
Academic Growth
Academic Growth Gaps
2011
Improvement Plan
48.4%
Does Not Meet
Approaching
Approaching
2012
Priority Improvement
42.0%
Does Not Meet
Approaching
Approaching 
2013
Priority Improvement
40.5%
Does Not Meet
Approaching
Approaching 
2014
Priority Improvement
33.0%
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
Does Not Meet
2016
Priority Improvement
37.7%
Does Not Meet
Approaching
No longer reported
2017
Priority Improvement
40%
Does Not Meet
Approaching
No longer reported
2018
Improvement Plan
42.9%
Does Not Meet
Approaching
No longer reported


Addendum B

District Program Monitoring Report-Update Aurora International Leadership ACTION Zone[ix]

From Section 3, Implementation Progress - Individual School Progress – page 10
Paris:
·         “In math, Paris showed its MGP by 8.5 points between 2016-17 and 2017-18, from 38 to 46.5.
·         “Paris is focused on building a new school culture, as well as onboarding and capacity building of new teaching staff.
·         “Paris has been building community partnerships, including partnering with Children’s Hospital to provide health and wellness programming.”
From Section 6: Goals - page 14
·         “Two schools, Crawford and Paris, improved their overall SPF rating from Priority Improvement to Improvement and therefore are no longer on the State’s Accountability Clock.”

COMMENT:
As with Paris, the “progress” reported for the other schools in the Action Zone, Aurora Central High, Aurora West, Boston K-8, and Crawford Elementary, did not include ONE SENTENCE on academic achievement. Only a little data—mostly improved Median Growth Percentiles. In 15 pages, the report devoted four pages to the budget of Action Zone work in the five schools, most of three pages to demographics, and most of two pages to the School Performance Framework results 2016- 2018. (Yes, I repeat myself.[x]  More troubling is that the APS staff repeats itself, as if no one notices. Some of us do.)


Addendum C

Aurora Central High School – Achievement and Accountability

1.       Is ONE LINE on academic achievement enough?

“Aurora Central High School Board Update”[i] - presented by the principal, Gerardo De La Garza, January 9, 2019

The update pertained to the board’s decision to approve the ACHS Unified Improvement Plan (UIP) before being submitted to CDE. No SAT or PSAT scores, no achievement data at all, except for ONE LINE.

Principal De La Raza presented eight slides in his presentation. They included data showing improvement on attendance, suspensions and expulsions, graduation and dropout rates, and one graph that emphasized how the SPF scores for the high school had grown, 2016-2018. That graph also included an orange line on the Academic Achievement from the SPF each of the last three years.  ONE LINE.

Aurora Central High – overall SPF scores and specific Academic Achievement scores




2016
2017
2018
SPF rating
31.8% points earned
34.8% points earned
37.4% points earned
Academic Achievement
25%
7.5/30 (weighted points earned/pts eligible)
Does Not Meet
25%
7.5/30 (weighted points earned/pts eligible)
Does not Meet
25%
7.5/30 (weighted points earned/pts eligible)
Does not Meet


But did the board hear anything about that 25% and Does Not Meet for three straight years?

No doubt the Unified Improvement Plan itself included a more complete and self-critical examination if its struggles to see student achievement improve. Perhaps something along the lines of what we read in the school’s UIP from 2017:

ACADEMIC ACHIEVEMENT
Description: The 9th and 10th grade achievement scores, for all disaggregated groups, are persistently below state expectations in evidence-based reading and writing as well as math. The percentage of students reaching proficiency is consistently below state and district averages, resulting in a total SPF rating of “Does Not Meet.”

What is the basis of the 7.5/30?  As high schools no longer take a PARCC test, achievement data is derived from results on the two “college readiness” exams, the SAT and PSAT.  I heard an ACHS teacher insist that such tests are a poor way to measure academic achievement at a high school like ACHS. I agree. But it is what we have.  Shouldn’t we expect the school board to be given these scores?


2017
2018

English
Math
English
Math
Minimum expected for graduation*
470
500
470
500
ACHS
423.6
405.3
422.2
409.5
Below minimum
      -46.4
-94.7
-47.8
-90.5
*Colorado Graduation Guidelines as of 2021[xii]

Does the Aurora School Board see this kind of data? Does it ask for it? Is the Board even interested?

All it saw earlier this month were eight slides from the principal. Not enough, not when the school is …


     2.  One of 3 high schools in Colorado on YEAR 8 on the ACCOUNTABILITY CLOCK

There are only THREE Colorado schools serving grades 9-12 on YEAR 8 in the state’s School Performance Framework.  The just released 2018 SPF rating shows that, of those three, the Colorado high school with the fewest percentage points earned is Aurora Central High School.

2018 – School Performance Framework – percentage points earned:
-          Aguilar Junior-Senior High School – 41.8%
-          Adams City High – 39.5%
-          Aurora Central High – 37.4%




[iii] AV#141–“Sherlock Holmes for Superintendent. Curiosity–a key ingredient for better schools,” included this:
Dec. 11 - PARCC scores in Aurora – Sherlock would take out his magnifying glass to see if ….
Six weeks later, when the PARCC results were published, one did not expect APS leaders to be pleased. But were they curious?  Any information there to learn from?  School-by-school data to dig into?
Chalkbeat Colorado - Aurora: ‘We know we need to do better.’
Of the state’s top 20 districts, the troubled Aurora Public Schools district posted the lowest scores on the PARCC tests: 20 percent of students met or exceeded expectations in language arts, and just 12 percent met those marks in math. (Jan. 2016)
[vi]From “District Program Monitoring Report-Update Aurora International Leadership ACTION Zone,” for APS school board, Jan. 8, 2019.
[x] From, AV#177 – “APS school board still not being told student achievement data in Action Zone,” on the Action Zone report to school board in January 2018:
“14 pages. Too much? Yes, when of so little value. After ‘Background’ and ‘Program Status,’ this:
·         4 pages on the budget
·         2 pages on demographic data
·         1 page on enrollment
·         2 pages on School Performance Framework targets and results. (My version of the SPFs, p. 4, provides a new board more context—previous years—to show how chronic the low performance has been.)
·         1 page on ‘Individual School Progress,’ providing growth scores (a repeat of what the previous board saw on 9/19), but no data on the achievement results on PARCC or PSAT assessments to gauge student performance for 2016-17.  A good board understands what growth scores do not reveal.” (Emphasis mine.)
[xi] From “Aurora Central High School Board Update” at the Aurora School Board meeting, Jan. 8, 2019, https://www.boarddocs.com/co/aurora/Board.nsf/files/B82TNH6C1A9A/$file/ACHS%20BOE%20Presentation%2C%20January%208%2C%202018.pdf