Friday, December 1, 2023

AV #266 - Still Crazy (but perhaps not mad) After All These Years

 Final 2023 update. On four issues. Evidence that perhaps I had a point, and have not yet lost my mind.

Addendum A - 15 previous newsletters on these four issues, 2015 – 2023.

                                                                                                                                                                   



A.   Four-day School Week   

AV #236 - Why we must have a study of the 4-day week in Colorado (Aug. 2021)

Are we proud of this: to be #1 in the country in a practice without knowing its impact on students?

   The good news is that the Colorado Department of Education has removed a 2011 study[i] from its website that I studied and criticized.[ii] It has been embarrassing to see an in-house report on that website for 12 years that appeared to give the state’s blessing to a shorter school week, without solid evidence of the impact on students.

   AV #236 also faulted CDE’s “Four-Day School Week Information Manual’[iii]. That Manual waited until page 7 of its 8-page overview to address Student Performance, in all of three paragraphs. I noted two paragraphs that implied: OK, we don’t know if the four-day week hurts student achievement, but hey, does it really matter?


  The general feeling is that students do no worse on the four-day week than on the traditional schedule. If student performance is judged by satisfaction, then the results are very favorable.


Addendum B – Studies done in OTHER states on their four-day school week. 

  Few districts have changed from five to four days with the expressed purpose of improving student achievement; it has not been a significant issue.      


                                

   That Information Manual is also gone from CDE’s website.           

    Nevertheless, we wait to hear if CDE will call for a new, external study. I asked for this again in AV #256 after showing the declining scores in Districts 27J and Pueblo 60 in their first year on the shorter week.[iv]

    Our state has the highest percentage of school districts operating on a four-day week—with no research to show if this is proving good for student achievement. And in that vacuum, more districts move to the shorter week. (This fall: the 14 schools in Alamosa, Lake, and Platte Canyon, and Education reEnvisioned BOCES.)

   I estimate Colorado has 440 schools and 120,000 students on a four-day week. Worth a study? You think?

 

B.  Teacher Shortage and Alternative Teacher Licensure

A rural superintendent in Colorado: “The alternative licensure program has been a blessing for us!”

   The heading of AV #195 included: Alternative pathway now prepares nearly one-quarter of our new teachers (June 2019). Good news: not just “nearly”; since then, the figure has been 25% or better.

     I have celebrated the steady growth of the alternative licensure program in Colorado these past 30 years. (This one is personal. My own non-traditional route led to 18 years teaching English.)  We worry about our teacher shortage; we fret over the drop in numbers completing traditional preparation programs. For these reasons we must spotlight alternative programs. Although the last state report showed a small decline in the number prepared through these programs, the figures have held steady for the past five years. 25% or more of Colorado’s new teachers are now licensed through this pathway.


 

2016-17

2017-18

2018-19

2019-20

2020-21

Decrease   2017 to 2021

Traditional

2,811

2,663

2,517

2,314

2,426

-385

Alternative

802

760

878

890

792*

          -10

% of new teachers licensed through alternative programs**

 

22%

 

22%

 

26%

 

28%


25%

 

*These figures come from the “Colorado Educator Preparation Programs and the Educator Pipeline,” produced by the Colorado Department of Higher Education and the Colorado Department of Education, Dec. 2022.[v]   **My math.


C.  Graduation Rates & Fake News. Aurora West College Prep Academy (APS) “on the clock” (at last!)

“Won’t get fooled again!” (The Who)

In 2015 AV#131 introduced what has become a theme: “Higher graduation rates? A word of caution before we celebrate” (June 2015). In #239-Superintendents should stop pretending higher graduation rates matter (Nov. 2021), I questioned the Aurora West narrative. I quoted from then APS Superintendent Rico Munn: “I would also like to congratulate Aurora West College Preparatory Academy, which had a 100% graduation rate for the third year in a row. Please join me in taking a moment to celebrate and reflect on our historic achievement!”[vi] I explained why such high graduation rates were suspect. In a follow-up I wrote:

AV#239 showed the declining PSAT scores at Aurora West College Preparatory Academy in APS from 2017 (864) to 2019 (824). That 824 was 114 points below the state average. Never mind: Aurora West reported a remarkable (believable?) feat, a graduation rate of 100%, three years running no less, exceeding the state average by over 18%.  UPDATE: AWCPA 2021 graduation rate “fell”—to 97.7%

From 2010-2021 Aurora West College Prep received a Performance rating. In 2022 it was rated on Improvement. The 2023 Preliminary ratings (finally) put it on Priority Improvement.[vii] Why? Results. At AWCPA “only 6% of students met or exceeded expectations in English and only 1% met or exceeded grade level expectations in math” (Aurora Sentinel, Aug. 27, 2023.[viii]) (More at Addendum C: APS high schools.)

It is good news that the state’s SPF has caught up with Aurora West College Prep Academy. It remains to be seen if the APS Board of Education realizes it has been duped by the absurdly high graduation rates Aurora West reported these many years. Let’s hope it will not be fooled again.


D.   But we have been fooled again – by recreating a comprehensive high school at Montbello

Warning ignored, but was I wrong? Both schools are (back) on the accountability clock. Déjà vu. 

   Denver Public Schools insisted, with no evidence, that it was best to recreate a large comprehensive high school at Montbello. (The “reunification” of West also included talk of returning to a “comprehensive high school” model.[ix]) Various smaller schools-within-a-school were closed; “big is better” won the day. (Montbello can enroll over 1,400 students). In AV#224-226 (Feb. 2021), I argued against this plan:

Any examples of DPS opening a high-quality high school in a community like Montbello? DPS has not created a high-quality secondary school serving a majority of low-income students in this century.

That fall, AV#238: $130 million for the new Montbello High – Will we have a school design worthy of the price? showed that the demographics of the new high school might match Abraham Lincoln High School.

I do not believe that demographics are destiny. But surely there is a warning in seeing that Denver might create a second high school as chronically low-performing as Abraham Lincoln has been. No one wants that, true? [Bold added, as this is exactly what we now see.]

                                                                                                                                                                               

After two years, as of Sept. 2023[x], Montbello (and the new West High) are again on Performance Watch.

 

 

2022- Rating and % Pts Earned

2023 – Preliminary Rating and % Pts Earned

Abraham Lincoln

Priority Improvement – Yr 5

40.4%

Priority Improvement – Yr 6  

36%

Montbello

Improvement

42.4%

Priority Improvement – Yr 1

38.6%

West*

Priority Improvement

38.6%

Turnaround – Yr 1

36.4%

Addendum D provides more details on the 2023 achievement scores (PSAT & SAT) at these schools.

This is not Monday-morning quarterbacking. More than a few of us could see this coming. DPS must own this flaw in its planning and design. Urban districts must put to rest the idea that bigger is better.



Addendum A

Previous newsletters on topics updated in AV#266

Four-day week 

AV#207 - Alarming Results in Year One: District 27J Schools’ shift to 4-day school week brings drop in academic performance (March 2020) 

AV #236 - Why we must have a study of the 4-day week in Colorado - Are we proud of this: to be #1 in the country in a practice without knowing its impact on students? (Aug. 2021) 

AV#256 - The 4-Day School Weak – Who Believes One Day Less is More? Almost 70% of Colorado districts now on a 4-day school week. Will we ever stop? (Feb. 2023)

Alternative Licensure Program 

AV #195 - ALTERNATIVE TEACHER LICENSURE IN COLORADO – WHAT A CHANGE!  Alternative pathway now prepares nearly one-quarter of our new teachers                                                                  (June 2019)

AV #249 - Celebrating alternative licensure – the ever-more popular path to teaching (July 2022) 

Graduation rates

AV #31 - Higher graduation rates? A word of caution before we celebrate (June 2015)

AV#162 - Higher graduation rates in Colorado – fake news - “Colorado graduation rates reach highest marks since 2010…”  (CDE News Release, Jan. 19, 2017)                            (June 2017)

AV #183 - Remediation rates suggest our graduation rates will soon fall (Sept. 2018)

AV #239 - Superintendents should stop pretending higher graduation rates matter (Nov. 2021)

AV #263 - Colorado’s new graduation guidelines – early warning signs that they fall short – Part 1 (Sept. 2023)

AV #264 - Colorado’s new graduation guidelines – early warning signs that they fall short – Part 2 (Oct. 2023) 

Montbello and West

AV #224 - DPS should not be in charge of designing a new comprehensive high school for Montbello

(Feb. 4, 2021)

AV #225 - “Recreate Montbello” – Nostalgia? Amnesia? A few reminders (Feb. 9, 2021)

AV #226 - Montbello – Doublespeak from DPS – Unification is Closure (Feb. 17, 2021)

AV #238 - $130 million for the new Montbello High –Will we have a school design worthy of the price? (Oct. 2021)


 

Addendum B  - The Four-Day School Week - “Nobody knows”

Colorado #1 in country – and without a study, without a clue if this is best for students

Subheading from The Colorado Sun’s three-parts series in 2019 on the four-day week.

“Money moved more than 100 districts to forge ahead with the largely untested strategy. Parents and teachers learned to love it, but nobody knows its impact on kids and learning.” 

By Jennifer Brown, Aug. 27, 2019

Here are five other states where we see some kind of analysis of the four-day school week. And yet Colorado, with a higher percentage of school districts on a four-day week than any of these states, has no study. These state studies were listed in AV#236:

 

1.    Oregon (2021) - “The Shrinking School Week” - Effects of a four-day schedule on student achievement, by Paul N. Thompson, Education Next, Summer 2021 - Data from 2004-2018

https://www.educationnext.org/shrinking-school-week-effects-four-day-schedule-student-achievement/

2.   New Mexico (2018) – “Legislative Education Study Committee,” by Kevin Force and Abigail. Purpose: Explore learning time and the effects of a four-day school week. August 16, 2018. (11 pages)

https://www.nmlegis.gov/handouts/ALESC%20081518%20Item%209%204%20day%20school%20calendar%20brief.pdf

3.   Idaho (2018) - “4-Day School Week in Idaho,” Department of Education, State of Idaho. 2018.Power point   http://www.buenabands.org/4-day/articles/durr-4daywkprsnt041309.pdf

4.   Oklahoma (2017) - “Impact of a 4-Day School Week on Student Academic Performance, Food Insecurity, and Youth Crime,” Office of Partner Engagement Rapid Health Impact Assessment, Oklahoma State Department of Health, May 2017. (27 pages)

    https://www.ok.gov/health2/documents/FINAL%20HIA%20Four%20Day%20School%20Week%202017.pdf

5.   Montana (2014) - “A comparison of student achievement in rural schools with four and five day weeks,” Timothy W. Tharp, University of Montana ScholarWorks at University of Montana, 2014. (71 pages)  - https://scholarworks.umt.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=11826&context=etd.  (Achievement data from 2007-2013.)


AV #256 listed another four recent studies done of the four-day week, but not on any one state.

From “The four-day school week: Research shows benefits and consequences,” The Journalist’s Resource, by Denise-Marie Ordway, Sept. 21, 2022 - To save money and help recruit teachers, many schools are taking Mondays or Fridays off. Scholars are studying how it affects students, teachers and school district budget https://journalistsresource.org/education/four-day-school-week-research/#:~:text=A%202022%20study%20that%20looks,%2Dday%20weeks%2C%20on%20average. 

Only a Matter of Time? The Role of Time in School on Four-Day School Week Achievement Impacts
Paul N. Thompson and Jason Ward. Economics of Education Review, February 2022.

“Three Midwest Rural School Districts’ First Year Transition to the Four Day School Week”
Jon Turner, Kim Finch and Ximena Uribe-Zarain. The Rural Educator, 2019.

“Staff Perspectives of the Four-Day School Week: A New Analysis of Compressed School Schedules”
Jon Turner, Kim Finch, and Ximena Uribe–Zarian. Journal of Education and Training Studies, 2018.

“The Economics of a Four-Day School Week: Community and Business Leaders’ Perspectives”
Jon Turner, Kim Finch, and Ximena Uribe–Zarian. Journal of Education and Training Studies, 2018.


Addendum C

Aurora’s high schools – PSAT/SAT results

From Keystone Policy Center’s Student Academic Performance Map (November 2023) https://coloradosun.com/colorado-student-academic-performance-map/

 

Colorado Student Performance

Academic Year 2022-23

 

 

2023 Preliminary School Performance Rating – Year on Accountability Clock

The Colorado Sun / Keystone Center https://coloradosun.com/colorado-student-academic-performance-map/

 

 

Colorado Department of Education - https://www.cde.state.co.us/schoolview/datafiles

 

Math

Math Growth

 

English

 

State of Colorado

33

50

 

44

Aurora Science & Tech High

42

40

 

50

 

Vista Peak 9-12

33

46

 

48

Priority Improvement – Year 1

Lotus School for Excellence

30

50

 

45

 

Rangeview

31

51

 

50

 

William Smith

21

43

 

46

 

Hinckley

11

38

 

26

Turnaround – Year 3

 

Gateway

10

39

 

28

Priority Improvement – Year 6

 

Aurora Central Campus

9

40

 

21

Priority Improvement – Year 9 On Hold (Insufficient Data for the K-12 campus, but the sub-rating for grades 9-12 is Priority Improvement*)

Vanguard Classical East

5

40

 

35

 

Aurora West College Preparatory Academy

4

37

 

25

Priority Improvement – Year 1

*2023 Preliminary School Performance Framework –https://mail.google.com/mail/u/0/#search/Lori+Stack/QgrcJHsbflzwcHLlhrdrjrxMDHlQwvlmpKQ?projector=1&messagePartId=0.1, made available to me by Lori Stack, Director, APS Department of Accountability & Research, Oct. 24, 2023.

 

Addendum D – Montebello and West High - Déjà vu

“We can’t solve problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them.” Albert Einstein

 

I doubt anyone who worked hard on the REIMAGINE MONTBELLO effort expected to see these results.

School Performance Framework

After closing the high schools, then opening small schools inside the old school buildings,

DPS went back to what was not working before, comprehensive high schools. What does DPS say now?

 

 

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015-2021

2022

2023*

Montbello High School

Turn-around Plan

Year 1

Priority Improve-ment Plan

Year 2

Turn-around Plan

Year 3

Turn-around Plan

School Closed

 

 

Small schools operated inside these two buildings

Improve-ment

Priority Improve-ment

Year 1

Percentage pts earned

41.2%

44.2%

40.8%

41.3%

31.2%

42.4%

38.6%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

West High School

Priority Improve-ment Plan

Year 1

Turn-around Plan

Year 2

Turn-around Plan

Year 3

“new” school – West Generation Academy*- rated on Turnaround 2013 & 2014

Priority Improve-ment

Year 0

Turn-around

Year 1

Percentage pts earned

 

 

43.1

 

 

38.6%

36.4%

*CDE 2023 Preliminary School Ratings (XLS) (August 2023), CDE. (Subject to change; final ratings will be made public in December.)

** “The West Denver community felt the academic program at West High School was not meeting the needs of the community’s children. Starting in the fall of 2010, parents and community leaders partnered with Denver Public Schools to identify solutions for the West campus, and after working closely with the district throughout the winter of 2011, determined that the creation of two new academies on the West Campus would provide students with the best educational opportunities. West Generation Academy was one of those two academies created.”

- Report from Submitted by Wendy Piersee, CEO, Generation Schools Network, Christiansen Institute, 2013, https://www.christenseninstitute.org/west-generation-academy/ 

 

 

Achievement scores for at the (New and Improved?) Montbello and West High Schools

2011 and 2023 - 9th grade achievement scores

MONTBELLO HIGH SCHOOL

9th grade, 2011 – CSAP - % proficient and advanced

 

 

Reading - 28%        Writing - 14%        

 

Math - 9%

Source: CDE - CSAP/TCAP Summary Data – 2011 -  https://www.cde.state.co.us/assessment/coassess-dataandresults

9th grade, 2023 - PSAT – % met or exceeded expectations

 

 

Evidence-Based Reading & Writing  -  18.1%

 

Math  -  9.2% - 26 students

Source – CDE – 2023 PSAT & SAT District and School Summary Achievement Results - https://www.cde.state.co.us/assessment/sat-psat-data

 

WEST HIGH SCHOOL

9th grade, 2011 – CSAP -  % proficient and advanced

 

 

Reading - 24%        Writing - 12%        

 

Math - 7.5%

Source: CDE - CSAP/TCAP Summary Data -2011 - https://www.cde.state.co.us/assessment/coassess-dataandresults

9th grade, 2023 - PSAT – % met or exceeded expectations

 

 

Evidence-Based Reading & Writing  -  21.7%

 

Math  -  12.3% - 17 students

Source – CDE – 2023 PSAT & SAT District and School Summary Achievement Results - https://www.cde.state.co.us/assessment/sat-psat-data

 

                                                                         PSAT & SAT 2023 results for black and Hispanic students

at Montbello, West, and Abraham Lincoln

Planning for the re-creation of a comprehensive high school at both sites surely understood that most of the students to enroll would be black and Hispanic. These two pages show how black and Hispanic students performed in 2023, compared to others in the district and in the state. 

Evidence-Based Reading and Writing

PSAT - Grades 9 - State average - 891

 

white

black

Hispanic

 

STATE

948

805

805

 

DPS

1004

779

778

 

Lincoln

N.A.

N.A.

687

Among black students, scores at Montbello & West were over 80 pts below those across the district.

Montbello

N.A.

691

723

West

N.A.

698

721

779-698 = 81

PSAT - Grades 10 – State average – 930

 

white

black

Hispanic

 

STATE

984

854

849

 

DPS

1040

847

829

 

Lincoln

N.A.

765

753

Among Hispanic students, scores at Montbello and West were roughly 60 pts below those across the district.

Montbello

N.A.

762

771

West

N.A.

N.A.

762

829-762 = 67

SAT – Grade 11 – State average - 990

 

white

black

Hispanic

 

STATE

1053

889

885

 

DPS

1122

873

869

Out of all comprehensive high schools in DPS, the 2 newest joined Abraham Lincoln with the lowest SAT scores. Among Hispanic students, scores at Montbello and West were 70-80 pts below those across the district.

Lincoln

N.A.

N.A.

782

Montbello

N.A.

736

798

West

N.A.

N.A.

789

869-789 = 80

  

Math

As math scores at these three Denver high schools were so low, here it is more useful to note the % and the number of students IN THAT ENTIRE GRADE who Met or Exceeded Expectations.

Percent and Number of Students who Met or Exceeded Expectations on PSAT/SAT

PSAT - Grades 9 –

 

Percent

Number of students

STATE

46.6%

 

DPS

37.3%

 

Lincoln

9.0%

22 students

Montbello

9.2%

26 students

West

12.3%

17 students

PSAT - Grades 10

 

Percent

Number of students

STATE

38.0%

 

DPS

30.7%

 

Lincoln

9.0%

22 students

Montbello

4.7%

11 students

West

5.0%

7 students

SAT – Grade 11 –

 

Percent

Number of students

STATE

35.2%

 

DPS

27.7%

 

Lincoln

4.2%

8 students

Montbello

6.2%

14 students

West

4.5%

6 students


Endnotes


[i] “A Comparison of Colorado School Districts Operating on Four‐Day and Five‐Day Calendars 2011,” Author(s):  Dianne L. Lefly, PhD, CDE Research & Evaluation & Jhon Penn, CDE Field Services Date of Initial Publication: 11/2011 https://www.cde.state.co.us/sites/default/files/documents/research/download/pdf/coloradofourdayandfivedaydistricts.pdf

 

[ii] From AV #236: “Why research on Colorado done years ago provides no solid evidence to support the 4-day week.”

[iv] From AV #256 - “Concerned now? Enough to say this issue deserves a thorough study?” pages 5-8

·        Their PSAT & SAT MATH SCORES have declined over the past five years, 2018-2022.

·        SAT MATH SCORES in District 27J and Pueblo 60 show significant decline over 5 years, 2018-2022.

·        Academic Achievement Trend – from CDE’s School Performance Framework - 2018-2022

·        Impact of the 4-day week on our most vulnerable students

 

[vi] “APS Makes History with Class of 2020 Graduation Rate,” https://aurorak12.org/2021/01/15/aps-makes-historywith-class-of-2020-graduation-rate/

 

[vii] District and School Performance Framework Results, https://www.cde.state.co.us/accountability/performanceframeworkresults

[viii] Alarming Colorado student test scores call for a crisis plan,” Editorial, Aurora Sentinel, Aug. 27, 2023, https://sentinelcolorado.com/opinion/editorial-alarming-colorado-student-test-scores-call-for-a-crisis-plan/

[ix] The reunification of West High is one of two efforts underway to bring comprehensive high schools back to neighborhoods where they were dismantled. The hope at the time was that smaller schools would better serve students there, many of whom are Hispanic or Black.” “Denver school board votes to reunify West High School,” by

Melanie Asmar, Chalkbeat Colorado, Nov. 19, 2020,

https://www.chalkbeat.org/colorado/2020/11/19/21578841/denver-vote-to-reunify-west-high-school/

 

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